The Holy Tri-Trinity: Advent of the RAT God, Crime as Opportunity Theory and Crime Science

Behold the miracle of Crime Science, all crimes and The Tri-Trinity of the RAT Advent

Today's Church of Crime Science Yuletide Midnight Mass is given by The Reverend Hammy Wheel of The Church of Crime Science in England.

On this holy night, the very Reverend Reverend Hammy explains the miracle of how every successful criminal act in commission is the cause of itself and how Routine Activity Theory, Crime as Opportunity Theory and Crime Science are themselves the single most important cause of themselves.

Heresy can be found here. But the always right, right Reverend Hammy Wheel beseeches thee not read or consider the the work of this heretic. Crime Science depends upon thou absolute faith in its hidden and ill-defined underlying assumptions (miracles, gospels and revelations).

The right reverend Hammy Wheel's Yuletide Sermon on the miracle advent of all crimes and RAT's crime as Opportunity Theory being the cause of themselves can be viewed on video filmed at the Church of Crime Science's The Wheel lecture theater, which is specially engineered and designed for tautology and the teaching closed science:

Can a seemingly insane mechanical hamster set a mad world right via YouTube?

The following text is kindly provided by Disology.com (the website for scholarly study of disrespect)

Since Routine Activity Theory's (RAT) notion of opportunity causing crime misunderstands that RAT's three components of opportunity are in fact a truism for every successful crime in commission 'opportunity' cannot be a cause of crime because it is an irrefutable and infinitely easy to vary truism. RAT opportunity is merely a precise description of the core components present at the successful crime scene in commission. This makes it the essential data of the crime. And data should not be confused with explanations for it. Religions typically confuse data with explanations. The tautological argument that the messages in the Christian Bible are all true because they are the word of God because the Bible is the word of God is a good example. Because, absurdly, the Bible is both the data and the only explanation required for the presence of the data. And so in this clip a hamster in a wheel gives us a lecture on the illogical circularity of RAT and Crime Science's unshaken belief in it. Professor, Reverend Hammy Wheel of the University of Perversity’s Department of Junk Science, Division of Tautology, gives us The Church of Crime Science's Explanation of the miracle of the Advent of Routine Activities Theory (RAT) and why, if we follow the unscientific reasoning of RAT theory every crime must be a cause of itself. The Reverend Wheel then explains how this reasoning can be applied to RAT theory itself to explain how the theory caused itself to come into being.

An example of tautological reasoning (a logical fallacy)

Healthy Sceptic: Why do you think that the written Bible contains truth that the world was made in seven days?

Believer: Because the Bible is the written truth.

Healthy Sceptic: But how do you know that?

Believer: Because the Bible is the written word of God.

Healthy Sceptic: But you are not explaining why you think you know that it is the word of God.

Believer: In the Bible it is written that it is the word of God.

Healthy Sceptic: But how can you think you know that those words are true?

Believer: Because the Bible is the written truth.

Further thoughts

Is it better to seek to understand rather than ridicule? Does the video of the Rev. Wheel giving a squeaky voiced lecture whilst going around in his wheel serve as a useful heuristic device for explaining why something is a logical fallacy? More on that debate can be had here. And a detailed academic debunking of the fallacy that opportunity makes the thief can be had here.

Criminology, Crime Science and RAT God Worship

Church of Crime Science Worships RAT God: More Dogma Uncovered as Criminology Examines Implications of its Underlying Assumptions

I was out with a number of fellow criminologists last night. We were discussing recent claims that Opportunity Theory, Routine Activities Theory (RAT), Situational Crime Prevention SCP and Crime Science are all built on the closed dogmatic assumptions (blind belief) that:

(a) the data you are seeking to explain can explain itself and does not need to be kept separate from theoretical explanations for the data (i.e. the three components of RAT: capable and motivated offender, suitable target and relative lack of capable guardianship are claimed by 'believers' to be the most important cause of crime) and
(b) it is OK to have infinitely variable explanations such as the three components of RAT that are never wrong because they are truisms as causal explanations.

As Mike Sutton pointed out on his Dysology site this sort of nonsense is all completely unscientific and makes opportunity a very bad explanation as a cause of crime - and seriously challenges the scientific basis of so called Crime Science. According to Sutton's dysology essay, the three components of RAT's crime as opportunity explanation are simply a very precise and elegant description of the core components of any successful crime in commission, but they cannot explain themselves - just as the description of water as H2O cannot explain why its atoms are stuck together.

As the alcohol flowed, one of the BS crew raised another issue. He said that the use made of Rational Choice Theory in RAT, SCP and Crime Science is subjective, because it has no measurable values attached to it, and so it is also infinitely variable (just like RAT) - and therefore irrefutable. And all scientists know that irrefutable explanations are not explanations at all - they are either tautological nonsense or else simple truisms (e.g. the data to be explained).

“When, exactly,” he drunkenly mocked between huge glugs of beer, “are offenders actually deemed to be acting irrationally?” He used copper theft as an example. Many thieves are being electrocuted in their efforts to steal copper today that only a couple of years ago was adequately protected. “Is that rational?” he asked.

If rational choice is not as infinitely variable as capable and motivated offenders. targets and lack of guardianship are then at what point on the scale of rational thinking does Crime Science, RAT and SCP say offenders become irrational exactly? Or do they not have a measurable scale? Surely crime science is not simply relying on yet another subjective and infinitely variable always right explanation is it?

Is weighing up the risk of getting lethally electrocuted before embarking on copper theft really rational? And if it is then what is rational about rational choice theory? It seems to be saying anything you do so long as you think about it a bit makes it rational. How rational is that? Is it rational because RAT god worshipers thought about it a bit - just like those who wrote the ten commandments stated in the Christian Bible?

Is it rational for those who worship the RAT god to believe that thieves always act rationally by conveniently relying upon the invented, infinite and subjective notion of ‘bounded rationality’ – or for them to say that offenders rationally weigh risks and rewards most of the time, when they fail to reveal where the line is drawn between rationality and irrationality?

Perhaps those promoting Crime Science should stop trying to convince themselves and others that it is a natural science and apply instead for charitable status as a religion. After all, RAT adherents are dogmatically afraid to even examine never mind question the unreal and unscientific assumptions upon which their doctrine is based. They constantly vary their belief system to deal with unavoidable criticisms - looking everywhere and often having to rely upon the weakest and most unapt confirmatory evidence - while hating and paying scant regard to all dis-confirming evidence.

More blasphemy to follow in the cause of The Great Enlightenment, knowledge progression and the fight of a Real Crime Science. Will the great RAT god bite my head off in my sleep? Well there is probably less risk of that than the next "rational" deadly electrocution of a copper thief.

Merry Christmas

Dr Society

Cameron could be a Binmore's Sufferer: May God Help Us if He Is Because Things Will Get Much Worse

Does P.M David Cameron possibly have Binmore’s Syndrome?

The following text from a paper from MIT in the USA explains Professor Binmore's work and serves well as an introduction to this rare but socially troubling condition:

“…we identified three principles (action, contact, intention), all capturing non-consequential distinctions to which people are sensitive when making moral judgments. These principles are therefore operative in guiding moral judgment, as evidenced by subjects’ patterns of judgments. Importantly, these principles were not all equivalently expressed in subjects’ justifications of their judgments. The intention principle rarely emerged, while the action and contact principles emerged in the majority of subjects’ justifications; further, when subjects noted the contact principle, they also frequently denied that it should carry any moral weight, a comment that rarely merged for the action principle. We can infer from these results that the intention principle is operative but results in intuitive judgments, whereas the action and contact principles are also operative but appear to be accessible for use in conscious reasoning as evidenced by their emergence in justifications.”

In other words, PM David Cameron may have intended to be unjust when he made his famously unjust family allowance policy but was unable to justify why. Ironically then his purposive policy making is informed by his intuition. And Cameron’s intuition is likely to be based in no small part on his upper-class upbringing and subsequent membership of the moronic hooray-Henry Bullingdon club. As his brain scan shows, the toffee nosed matters matter grey matter of his brain has developed to the detriment of his justice and fairness centers. Consequently, our poor Prime Minister - while a high functioning member of society - is the type of person who is prone to make knee-jerk decisions intentionally but – being based on mere intuition -irrationally. Some researcher's believe that Binmore's sufferers are likely to be born into wealthy families - or else taller than average - and that explains their otherwise hard-to-fathom rise to key positions. It may also explain why the economy of Europe and the USA is in such a mess and why so many people who attain top positions throughout society are well below average in the abilities to do the job but way above average in their abilities to get such jobs.

The latest research coming from the Human Genome Project reveals that Bimore's (Bin-more) is an hereditary disorder. Furthermore, all sufferers have an ancestral link with with the Camron family who were Normans who served William the Conqueror. But links go back further to those with Viking genes. Many Russians have been found to have the syndrome and speculation remains regarding William Shakespeare's immortal line about their being something rotten in the state of Denmark. This may have been a reference to high number of sufferers in Scandinavian countries several hundred years ago. Emigration patterns have since ensured that Scandinavia is no longer a hot spot for these tyrants.

As with other empathy spectrum disorders, such as Aspergers Syndrome, Binmore’s sufferers are often high functioning members of society. But their condition can cause problems for others. In particular, those diagnosed with Binmore’s are advised to steer clear of professions in the judiciary, military, police and teaching. Occupations in which Binmore’s sufferers excel are: tyrant, dictator, torturer, jailer, executioner, upper-class hooray-Henry playboy, football hooligan, mafia boss, gold-digging suitor, pornographer, politician and confidence trickster.

Famous Bin-more syndrome sufferers are likely to have included: Saddam Hussain, Adolph Hitler, Stalin, Countess Elizabeth Bathory, Tony Blair, Vlad the Impaler, Gordon Brown and Margaret Thatcher.

An Urgent Appeal on Behalf of the Conservative Party and David Cameron's Brain

MI7 scientists have leaked the results of a secret brain scan that explains why British Prime Minister, David Cameron, cannot understand what is wrong with his planed policy making to impose a totally unjust cut to the family allowance payments of certain sections of the electorate. The scan reveals that so small is the justice center in his brain that he really is totally unbalanced.

When he was repeatedly pressed earlier this year the PM simply was mentally incapable of defending the anomaly of two working parents earning up to £88,000 a year keeping the benefit while a mother with a partner earning just over the £44,000 40 per cent tax rate threshold loses it. Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1318034/TORY-CONFERENCE-Cameron-champion-doers-grafters-victory-speech.html#ixzz11hOfg9dy"

Please sign the ePetition now. http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/714

Justice and Cameron’s brain are depending on you to help out.